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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.28%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 55.28% | 21.87% | 22.85% |
| Both teams to score 59.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% | 39.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.58% | 61.41% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% | 14.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.28% | 41.72% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.54% | 30.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.33% | 66.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 8.24% 3-1 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 3.8% 4-1 @ 3.13% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.35% Total : 55.28% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.86% | 1-2 @ 5.95% 0-1 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.03% 1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.9% Total : 22.85% |