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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Willem II |
44.31% | 25.23% | 30.46% |
Both teams to score 55.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.74% | 48.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% | 70.41% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% | 21.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% | 54.96% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% | 29.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.48% | 65.52% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 9.79% 2-1 @ 9.11% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.31% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |