Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.18%) and 0-1 (4.72%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Benfica |
| 36.54% | 21.54% | 41.92% |
| Both teams to score 71.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.57% | 28.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.73% | 49.26% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% | 16.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.3% | 46.69% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% | 14.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.21% | 42.78% |
| Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven 36.54%
Benfica 41.92%
Draw 21.54%
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 4.48% 1-0 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 4.3% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.92% 4-3 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.41% Total : 36.54% | 1-1 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 7.23% 3-3 @ 2.76% 0-0 @ 2.45% Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.54% | 1-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 5.18% 0-1 @ 4.72% 2-3 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 4.53% 0-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 2.49% 2-4 @ 2.22% 0-4 @ 1.39% 3-4 @ 1.32% 1-5 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.92% |
How you voted: PSV vs Benfica
PSV Eindhoven
64.8%Benfica
35.2%261


