Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 10, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 0
Spartak Moscow

(Benfica win 4-0 on aggregate)

Mario (58'), Yaremchuk (90+2')
Otamendi (16'), Weigl (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lomovitski (25'), Larsson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Spartak Moscow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Spartak Moscow
57.08%	21.99%	20.93%

Both teams to score 56.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94%

42.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.54%

64.46%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.47%

14.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.45%

42.55%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.13%

33.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.46%

70.54%

Score Analysis

Benfica 57.08%

Spartak Moscow 20.93%

Draw 21.98%

Benfica	Draw	Spartak Moscow
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 6.38% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.95% Total : 57.08%	1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 5.56% 0-1 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.93%

How you voted: Benfica vs Spartak Moscow

Benfica

93.8%

Spartak Moscow

6.2%