Champions League
Aug 10, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Nicolas Otamendi 16' yellowcard
  • Joao Mario 58' goal
  • Julian Weigl 71' yellowcard
  • Roman Yaremchuk 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Lomovitski 25'
  • yellowcard Jordan Larsson 68'

Benfica vs Spartak Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 4, 2021 6.00pm
Spartak Moscow 0 - 2 Benfica

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Aug 4, 2021 6.00pm
Spartak Moscow 0 - 2 Benfica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result

Benfica 57.08%
Draw 21.99%
Spartak Moscow 20.93%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.52%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.94%
Under 2.5 42.05%
Over 3.5 35.54%
Under 3.5 64.46%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 85.47%
Under 0.5 14.53%
Over 1.5 57.45%
Under 1.5 42.55%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 66.13%
Under 0.5 33.87%
Over 1.5 29.46%
Under 1.5 70.54%

Score analysis

Benfica 57.08%
Draw 21.98%
Spartak Moscow 20.93%
Benfica
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 6.38%
3-0 @ 5.89%
3-2 @ 3.45%
4-1 @ 3.07%
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 1.19%
5-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 57.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.98%
Spartak Moscow
1-2 @ 5.56%
0-1 @ 5.33%
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 20.93%

Head to Head

Champions League
Aug 4, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Aleksandr Sobolev 33' yellowcard
  • Mikhail Ignatov 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 48'
  • goal Rafa Silva 51'
  • goal Gilberto 74'
Nov 7, 2012 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oscar Cardozo 0' goal
Oct 23, 2012 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Rafael Carioca 0' goal
  • Jardel 0' goal
  • goal Lima 0'