Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Benfica

Nacional
1 - 3
Benfica

Pedrao (8')
Vigario (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pedrao (78' og.), Ramos (81', 86')
Chiquinho (34'), Gilberto (55'), Grimaldo (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 6.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.88%) and 0-1 (10.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBenfica
6.48%13.54%79.97%
Both teams to score 41.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76%38.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47%60.53%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.29%54.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.29%87.7%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.46%7.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.97%27.03%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 6.48%
    Benfica 79.97%
    Draw 13.54%
NacionalDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 2.49%
2-1 @ 1.94%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 6.48%
1-1 @ 6.43%
0-0 @ 4.12%
2-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 13.54%
0-2 @ 13.78%
0-3 @ 11.88%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-4 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 7.17%
1-4 @ 4.63%
0-5 @ 3.97%
1-5 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.16%
0-6 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.4%
1-6 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 79.97%

How you voted: Nacional vs Benfica

Nacional
16.7%
Draw
14.6%
Benfica
68.8%
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