Champions League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica2 - 1PSV
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 47.24% | 25.25% | 27.5% |
| Both teams to score 53.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
