Champions League

Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 21, 2021 at 8pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
5 - 1
Galatasaray

(PSV Eindhoven win 7-2 on aggregate)

Zahavi (2', 35', 84'), Gotze (51', 88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kilinc (42')
Marcao (75'), Luyindama (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between PSV Eindhoven and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Galatasaray
51.44%	22.72%	25.84%

Both teams to score 60.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.98%

40.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.62%

62.38%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.31%

15.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.24%

44.76%

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43%

28.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63%

64.37%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 51.44%

Galatasaray 25.84%

Draw 22.72%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 5.95% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-2 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-0 @ 2.2% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.7% Total : 51.44%	1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 6.52% 0-1 @ 5.62% 0-2 @ 3.52% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.48% Total : 25.84%