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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 67.07% | 18.66% | 14.28% |
| Both teams to score 54.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.64% | 38.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.35% | 60.65% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.44% | 10.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% | 39.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24% | 76% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 4.42% 4-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.43% 5-0 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 4.51% Total : 67.06% | 1-1 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.58% 0-0 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 4.07% 0-1 @ 3.88% 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.43% 1-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.83% Total : 14.28% |