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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 26.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Groningen in this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Groningen |
| 26.44% | 24% | 49.57% |
| Both teams to score 56.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% | 45.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.34% | 67.66% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% | 30.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% | 67.21% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% | 18.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.52% | 49.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 6.66% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 3.91% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.91% Total : 26.44% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 8.16% 1-3 @ 5.41% 0-3 @ 4.61% 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.29% 0-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.44% Total : 49.57% |