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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
| 37.65% | 24.63% | 37.72% |
| Both teams to score 59.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% | 43.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.7% | 66.3% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% | 23.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% | 56.99% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% | 23.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.06% | 56.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-1 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.74% 1-3 @ 4.1% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.72% |