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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 48.45% | 25.12% | 26.43% |
| Both teams to score 52.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.87% | 50.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.9% | 72.1% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% | 20.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.68% | 53.32% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% | 33.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.89% | 70.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.41% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.61% Total : 48.44% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.37% Total : 26.43% |