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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 50.64% | 25.03% | 24.33% |
| Both teams to score 51.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% | 51.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% | 73.19% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% | 20.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% | 52.66% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% | 35.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.31% | 72.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-1 @ 9.49% 2-0 @ 9.27% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.97% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.69% Total : 50.63% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.46% 1-2 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 3.82% 1-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.91% Total : 24.33% |