Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
