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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 24.42% | 23.3% | 52.29% |
| Both teams to score 56.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% | 43.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.65% | 66.35% |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% | 31.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% | 68.25% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% | 16.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.18% | 46.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 6.26% 1-0 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.13% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.42% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.58% 0-0 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-1 @ 9.54% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 5.78% 0-3 @ 5.05% 2-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.58% 0-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.14% Total : 52.29% |