Benfica vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.