Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 7, 2021 at 12.45pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
0 - 2
Estoril

Andres Caballero (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Filipe Russo Franco (4'), Meshino (90+6')
Gamboa (38'), Alexis Leite Figueira (57'), Geraldes (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Estoril Praia
41.79%	29.19%	29.02%

Both teams to score 42.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.5%

63.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.17%

82.83%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97%

30.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85%

66.15%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.37%

38.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.62%

75.38%

Score Analysis

Arouca 41.78%

Estoril Praia 29.02%

Draw 29.19%

Arouca	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 13.95% 2-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 7.99% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.38% Total : 41.78%	1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.19%	0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.56% Total : 29.02%