Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Estoril Praia |
41.79% | 29.19% | 29.02% |
Both teams to score 42.94% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.5% | 63.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.17% | 82.83% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.97% | 30.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.85% | 66.15% |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.37% | 38.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.62% | 75.38% |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 13.95% 2-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 7.99% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.01% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.38% Total : 41.78% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 3.8% Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.19% | 0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 6.31% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.56% Total : 29.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |