Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.93%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
| 12.95% | 20.3% | 66.75% |
| Both teams to score 45.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% | 48.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% | 70.79% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.23% | 47.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.94% | 83.06% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.32% | 13.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.1% | 40.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 4.83% 2-1 @ 3.55% 2-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.79% Total : 12.95% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.3% | 0-1 @ 13% 0-2 @ 12.93% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-3 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-4 @ 4.26% 1-4 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-5 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.5% Total : 66.75% |