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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 50.07% | 23.52% | 26.41% |
| Both teams to score 57.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.78% | 43.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% | 65.62% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.63% | 17.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.23% | 47.77% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.16% | 29.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.08% | 65.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 5.6% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.64% 0-1 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.17% Total : 26.41% |