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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 68.73% | 18.07% | 13.2% |
| Both teams to score 53.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% | 38.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.6% | 60.39% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.92% | 10.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.79% | 33.21% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.31% | 40.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.72% | 77.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 7.43% 4-0 @ 4.74% 4-1 @ 4.26% 3-2 @ 3.34% 5-0 @ 2.18% 5-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 4.73% Total : 68.72% | 1-1 @ 8.46% 2-2 @ 4.37% 0-0 @ 4.1% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.07% | 1-2 @ 3.81% 0-1 @ 3.69% 0-2 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 13.2% |