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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.72%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.49%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 25.11% | 27.18% | 47.72% |
| Both teams to score 45.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.25% | 58.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.72% | 79.28% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% | 39.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% | 76.02% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.31% | 24.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.77% | 59.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 9.07% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 4.23% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-0 @ 1.32% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.45% Total : 25.11% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-3 @ 4.43% 1-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.55% 1-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.71% |