Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
