Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
