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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 24.56% | 24.28% | 51.17% |
| Both teams to score 53.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.92% | 48.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.75% | 70.25% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.07% | 33.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.4% | 70.61% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.21% | 18.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.79% | 50.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 6.89% 2-1 @ 6.23% 2-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-2 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.25% Total : 24.56% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 8.91% 1-3 @ 5.37% 0-3 @ 4.97% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 2.08% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.17% |