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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.69%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 18.79% and a draw had a probability of 18.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (4.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
18.79% | 18.52% | 62.69% |
Both teams to score 65.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.44% | 28.56% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.57% | 49.43% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% | 27.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.46% | 63.53% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.14% | 8.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.66% | 30.34% |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
2-1 @ 4.88% 1-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.52% 3-1 @ 2.08% 2-0 @ 2.01% Other @ 4.15% Total : 18.79% | 1-1 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 2.47% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.45% Total : 18.52% | 1-2 @ 9.27% 1-3 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 7.27% 0-1 @ 6% 0-3 @ 5.87% 2-3 @ 4.78% 1-4 @ 4.54% 0-4 @ 3.56% 2-4 @ 2.9% 1-5 @ 2.2% 0-5 @ 1.72% 2-5 @ 1.4% 3-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 4.47% Total : 62.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
4 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |