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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 46.13% | 25.39% | 28.48% |
| Both teams to score 53.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.1% | 49.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.11% | 71.89% |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% | 21.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% | 54.75% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% | 31.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% | 68.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 4.71% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.13% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 7.88% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.48% |