Eredivisie | Gameweek 26

Mar 13, 2021 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
4 - 1
FC Twente

Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
62.12%	20.11%	17.77%

Both teams to score 57.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.78%

38.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.5%

60.5%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.19%

11.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.95%

37.05%

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.12%

34.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38%

71.62%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 62.12%

FC Twente 17.77%

Draw 20.11%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.9% 2-0 @ 9.4% 1-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 7.05% 3-0 @ 6.69% 4-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-0 @ 3.57% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 4.11% Total : 62.12%	1-1 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.11%	1-2 @ 4.88% 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.83% 1-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.72% Total : 17.77%