Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 25, 2021 at 1.30pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
2 - 0
AZ

Klaassen (66', 90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Karlsson (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 1-0 (7.19%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
54.21%	21.4%	24.39%

Both teams to score 63.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.89%

35.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.89%

57.12%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91%

13.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.3%

39.7%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97%

27.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61%

62.39%

Score Analysis

Ajax 54.21%

AZ Alkmaar 24.39%

Draw 21.4%

Ajax	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 7.32% 1-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 6.49% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 4.24% 4-1 @ 3.3% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.03% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.21%	1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.4%	1-2 @ 6.16% 0-1 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.85% Total : 24.39%