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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 48.73% | 26.29% | 24.99% |
| Both teams to score 48.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.33% | 55.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% | 76.83% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% | 22.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% | 56.64% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.29% | 37.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% | 74.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% 2-0 @ 9.38% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.81% Total : 48.72% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.42% 1-2 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.66% Total : 24.99% |