Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 24, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
2 - 0
VVV-Venlo

Duarte (41'), Smeets (67')
Smeets (45'), Beugelsdijk (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Post (56'), van Crooy (70'), Donis (77'), Machach (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and VVV-Venlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	VVV-Venlo
60.15%	21%	18.84%

Both teams to score 56.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.39%

40.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.01%

62.99%

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.89%

13.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.25%

39.75%

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.86%

35.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.11%

71.89%

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 60.15%

VVV-Venlo 18.84%

Draw 21%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.51% 1-0 @ 9.36% 3-1 @ 6.74% 3-0 @ 6.44% 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 3.42% 4-0 @ 3.27% 4-2 @ 1.79% 5-1 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.44% Total : 60.15%	1-1 @ 9.79% 2-2 @ 5.2% 0-0 @ 4.61% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.18% Total : 21%	1-2 @ 5.12% 0-1 @ 4.82% 0-2 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.81% 1-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.79% Total : 18.84%