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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 40.75% | 27.31% | 31.93% |
| Both teams to score 49.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.84% | 56.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.78% | 77.22% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% | 27.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% | 62.43% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% | 32.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% | 69.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 8.44% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.01% Total : 40.75% | 1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.93% |