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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen |
| 45.45% | 25.61% | 28.94% |
| Both teams to score 53.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.4% | 50.59% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.49% | 72.51% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% | 22.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% | 55.66% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% | 31.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% | 68.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.99% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.24% Total : 45.44% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 5.25% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.1% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.77% Total : 28.94% |