Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.