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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 24.68% | 22.79% | 52.52% |
| Both teams to score 58.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.56% | 41.44% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.16% | 63.84% |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% | 30.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% | 66.4% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% | 15.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.99% | 45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.31% 1-0 @ 5.72% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.68% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 4.79% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-1 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 5.98% 0-3 @ 5% 2-3 @ 3.58% 1-4 @ 2.75% 0-4 @ 2.3% 2-4 @ 1.65% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.58% Total : 52.52% |