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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Willem II win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Twente | Draw | Willem II |
43.24% | 26.73% | 30.03% |
Both teams to score 50.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.46% | 54.54% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.11% | 75.89% |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% | 25.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.32% | 59.68% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.98% | 33.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.39% | 69.6% |
Score Analysis |
FC Twente | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.41% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.23% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.15% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |