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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
48.88% | 24.05% | 27.07% |
Both teams to score 56.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.95% | 45.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.6% | 67.4% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% | 18.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.24% | 49.76% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.71% | 30.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.53% | 66.47% |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.39% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-1 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |