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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for NEC had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
| 48.88% | 24.05% | 27.07% |
| Both teams to score 56.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% | 45.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% | 67.4% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% | 18.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% | 49.76% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% | 30.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% | 66.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 5.35% 3-0 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.39% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 5.69% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-1 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 4% 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.07% |