Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.