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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 34.31% | 26.25% | 39.43% |
| Both teams to score 53.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% | 51.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% | 73.26% |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% | 28.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% | 64.36% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% | 25.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% | 60.48% |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.31% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.86% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.32% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.43% |