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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 50.5% | 26.14% | 23.36% |
| Both teams to score 46.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.61% | 56.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% | 77.4% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% | 22.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.09% | 55.91% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.39% | 39.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% | 76.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.5% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.4% Total : 23.36% |