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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heracles |
49.1% | 26.09% | 24.8% |
Both teams to score 48.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.91% | 55.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.65% | 76.34% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% | 22.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.98% | 56.02% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.45% | 37.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.67% | 74.33% |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heracles |
1-0 @ 12.59% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9.21% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.93% Total : 49.1% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.27% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |