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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.2%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 1-2 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 80.2% | 12.63% | 7.18% |
| Both teams to score 50.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.85% | 30.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.62% | 51.39% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.2% | 5.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.69% | 22.31% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.21% | 46.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.68% | 82.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-0 @ 11% 3-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.73% 4-0 @ 7.44% 4-1 @ 5.65% 5-0 @ 4.24% 5-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 2.15% 6-0 @ 2.01% 6-1 @ 1.53% 5-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 4.24% Total : 80.18% | 1-1 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 3.17% 0-0 @ 2.71% Other @ 0.88% Total : 12.63% | 1-2 @ 2.23% 0-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 2.89% Total : 7.18% |