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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for NEC had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 23.83% | 22.56% | 53.61% |
| Both teams to score 58.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% | 41.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% | 63.62% |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% | 30.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% | 67.09% |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% | 15.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.82% | 44.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 6.15% 1-0 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.28% 3-1 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.86% Total : 23.83% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 4.74% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-1 @ 8.87% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.18% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.86% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.07% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.61% |