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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.99%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 22.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
56.99% | 20.92% | 22.09% |
Both teams to score 62.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.52% | 35.47% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.48% | 57.52% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% | 12.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.74% | 38.26% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.92% | 29.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35% | 65% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 9.7% 2-0 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 6.76% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.53% 4-0 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 2.18% 5-1 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.38% Total : 56.99% | 1-1 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 3.6% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.92% | 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-1 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.19% Total : 22.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |