/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
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Marco Reus
11'
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Daley Blind
25'
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Edson Alvarez
33'
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Antony
57'
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Sebastien Haller
72'
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Jurrien Maduro
90'+2'
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Axel Witsel
42'
Ajax vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 3-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
53.81%
Draw
18.04%
Borussia Dortmund
28.16%
Both Teams to Score:
80.6%
Goals
Over 2.5
84.82%
Under 2.5
15.18%
Over 3.5
69.1%
Under 3.5
30.9%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
93.39%
Under 0.5
6.61%
Over 1.5
75.43%
Under 1.5
24.57%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
86.31%
Under 0.5
13.69%
Over 1.5
59.08%
Under 1.5
40.92%
Score analysis
Ajax
53.81%
Draw
18.04%
Borussia Dortmund
28.16%
Ajax
2-1
@
6.64%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-2 @ 5.98%
4-1 @ 4.08%
4-2 @ 4.06%
2-0 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.03%
4-3 @ 2.69%
1-0 @ 2.46%
5-1 @ 2.22%
5-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 2.05%
5-3 @ 1.46%
5-0 @ 1.12%
6-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 5.45%
Total : 53.81%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-2 @ 5.98%
4-1 @ 4.08%
4-2 @ 4.06%
2-0 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 3.03%
4-3 @ 2.69%
1-0 @ 2.46%
5-1 @ 2.22%
5-2 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 2.05%
5-3 @ 1.46%
5-0 @ 1.12%
6-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 5.45%
Total : 53.81%
Draw
2-2
@
6.6%
1-1 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 3.96%
4-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 18.04%
1-1 @ 4.89%
3-3 @ 3.96%
4-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 18.04%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
4.86%
2-3 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-4 @ 2.18%
3-4 @ 1.97%
0-1 @ 1.8%
0-2 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 28.16%
2-3 @ 4.38%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-4 @ 2.18%
3-4 @ 1.97%
0-1 @ 1.8%
0-2 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 28.16%