Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax4 - 0Dortmund
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.01%) and 3-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (4.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
53.81% | 18.04% | 28.16% |
Both teams to score 80.6% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
84.82% | 15.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
69.1% | 30.9% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.39% | 6.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.43% | 24.57% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.31% | 13.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.08% | 40.92% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax 53.81%
Borussia Dortmund 28.16%
Draw 18.04%
Ajax | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 5.98% 4-1 @ 4.08% 4-2 @ 4.06% 2-0 @ 3.34% 3-0 @ 3.03% 4-3 @ 2.69% 1-0 @ 2.46% 5-1 @ 2.22% 5-2 @ 2.21% 4-0 @ 2.05% 5-3 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.12% 6-1 @ 1.01% 6-2 @ 1% Other @ 4.45% Total : 53.81% | 2-2 @ 6.6% 1-1 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 3.96% 4-4 @ 1.34% 0-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.04% | 1-2 @ 4.86% 2-3 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-4 @ 2.18% 3-4 @ 1.97% 0-1 @ 1.8% 0-2 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 5.18% Total : 28.16% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Dortmund
Ajax
41.2%Draw
14.9%Borussia Dortmund
43.9%478
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2012 7.45pm
Sep 18, 2012 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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