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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
12.32% | 17.31% | 70.37% |
Both teams to score 53.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.27% | 36.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.1% | 58.9% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.86% | 41.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.31% | 77.68% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.68% | 9.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.56% | 31.44% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.59% 1-0 @ 3.41% 2-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.32% | 1-1 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.26% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.31% | 0-2 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 8.54% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 5.07% 1-4 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.37% 0-5 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 2% 0-6 @ 0.95% 2-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 81 | 13 | 68 | 72 |
2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 62 |
3 | FC Twente | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 49 |
5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 41 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 39 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
8 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 36 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 34 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 31 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 28 |
14 | Heracles | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 26 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 57 | -18 | 22 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 22 |
17 | Vitesse | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 53 | -32 | 17 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 67 | -41 | 14 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |