Eredivisie | Gameweek 5

Sep 21, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
0 - 5
Ajax

Janssen (49')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Berghuis (11'), Mazraoui (27'), Tadic (38'), Kudus (72'), Tagliafico (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
12.32%	17.31%	70.37%

Both teams to score 53.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.27%

36.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.1%

58.9%

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.86%

41.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.31%

77.68%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.68%

9.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.56%

31.44%

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 12.32%

Ajax 70.36%

Draw 17.31%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 3.59% 1-0 @ 3.41% 2-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.32%	1-1 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.26% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.31%	0-2 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 8.54% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 5.07% 1-4 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.37% 0-5 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 2% 0-6 @ 0.95% 2-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.36%