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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.68%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
23.43% | 22.89% | 53.68% |
Both teams to score 56.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.83% | 43.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.43% | 65.57% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.78% | 32.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.29% | 68.71% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% | 16.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.59% | 45.4% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.07% 1-0 @ 5.86% 2-0 @ 3.32% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.55% Total : 23.43% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-1 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.65% 1-3 @ 5.98% 0-3 @ 5.28% 2-3 @ 3.39% 1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.41% 2-4 @ 1.55% 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
18 | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |