Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 2, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
2 - 1
Augsburg

Guerreiro (10' pen.), Brandt (51')
Reus (44')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zeqiri (35')
Gruezo (13'), Oxford (15'), Zeqiri (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Augsburg
66.41%	18.54%	15.05%

Both teams to score 56.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.94%

36.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.84%

58.16%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.92%

10.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.78%

33.22%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21%

36.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42%

73.58%

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 66.41%

Augsburg 15.05%

Draw 18.54%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.76% 2-0 @ 9.76% 1-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 7.47% 3-0 @ 7.47% 4-0 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.73% 4-2 @ 2.14% 5-0 @ 1.97% 5-1 @ 1.97% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 4.08% Total : 66.41%	1-1 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.88% 0-0 @ 3.71% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.54%	1-2 @ 4.26% 0-1 @ 3.71% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.05%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Augsburg

Borussia Dortmund

90.1%

Draw

7.4%

Augsburg

2.5%