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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
| 13.04% | 17.84% | 69.11% |
| Both teams to score 53.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.6% | 37.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.38% | 59.62% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% | 40.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% | 77.07% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.21% | 9.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.45% | 32.55% |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.77% 1-0 @ 3.59% 2-0 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.61% Total : 13.04% | 1-1 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.38% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.84% | 0-2 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 9.21% 0-3 @ 8.28% 1-3 @ 7.5% 0-4 @ 4.81% 1-4 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 3.39% 0-5 @ 2.24% 1-5 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.97% 2-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 4.05% Total : 69.11% |