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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 76.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | NEC |
76.97% | 14.1% | 8.93% |
Both teams to score 52.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.02% | 30.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.63% | 52.38% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.44% | 6.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.56% | 24.44% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.7% | 43.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.46% | 79.54% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 10.54% 3-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 7.74% 4-0 @ 6.52% 4-1 @ 5.46% 5-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 3.36% 5-1 @ 2.97% 4-2 @ 2.29% 6-0 @ 1.61% 6-1 @ 1.35% 5-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.91% Total : 76.97% | 1-1 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 3.69% 0-0 @ 2.84% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.1% | 1-2 @ 2.71% 0-1 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 1.03% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |