/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Fneclog.png)
-
Sebastien Haller
5'
-
Noussair Mazraoui
9'
-
Bart van Rooij
13'
-
Dusan Tadic
19'
-
Dusan Tadic
38'
Ajax vs NEC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F48%2Fajamid.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 76.97%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.48%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
76.97%
Draw
14.1%
NEC
8.93%
Both Teams to Score:
52.98%
Goals
Over 2.5
69.02%
Under 2.5
30.98%
Over 3.5
47.63%
Under 3.5
52.38%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
93.44%
Under 0.5
6.56%
Over 1.5
75.56%
Under 1.5
24.44%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5
56.7%
Under 0.5
43.3%
Over 1.5
20.46%
Under 1.5
79.54%
Score analysis
Ajax
76.97%
Draw
14.1%
NEC
8.93%
Ajax
2-0
@
10.54%
3-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.74%
4-0 @ 6.52%
4-1 @ 5.46%
5-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.36%
5-1 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 2.29%
6-0 @ 1.61%
6-1 @ 1.35%
5-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 76.97%
3-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.74%
4-0 @ 6.52%
4-1 @ 5.46%
5-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 3.36%
5-1 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 2.29%
6-0 @ 1.61%
6-1 @ 1.35%
5-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 76.97%
Draw
1-1
@
6.48%
2-2 @ 3.69%
0-0 @ 2.84%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 14.1%
2-2 @ 3.69%
0-0 @ 2.84%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 14.1%
NEC
1-2
@
2.71%
0-1 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 8.93%
0-1 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 8.93%
Donny van de Beek
72'