Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 35
Apr 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
De Toekomst
NEC

Jong Ajax
0 - 1
NEC


Kasanwirjo (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barreto (34')
Vet (23'), Elkarouani (66')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and NEC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.51%) and 1-3 (5.45%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawNEC
33.65%21.95%44.4%
Both teams to score 68.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.67%31.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.23%52.77%
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58%19.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.75%51.26%
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.09%14.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.7%43.3%
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 33.65%
    NEC 44.4%
    Draw 21.95%
Jong AjaxDrawNEC
2-1 @ 7.4%
1-0 @ 4.75%
3-1 @ 4.04%
2-0 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 3.85%
3-0 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.58%
4-3 @ 1%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 33.65%
1-1 @ 9.03%
2-2 @ 7.04%
0-0 @ 2.9%
3-3 @ 2.44%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-1 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 5.45%
0-2 @ 5.25%
2-3 @ 4.47%
0-3 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 2.59%
2-4 @ 2.13%
0-4 @ 1.58%
3-4 @ 1.16%
1-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 44.4%

rhs 2.0


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