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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 26.05% | 22.49% | 51.46% |
| Both teams to score 61.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% | 38.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% | 61.04% |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% | 63.3% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.77% | 15.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.12% | 43.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 6.54% 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-0 @ 3.47% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.72% Total : 26.05% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.22% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 6.02% 0-3 @ 4.69% 2-3 @ 3.86% 1-4 @ 2.83% 0-4 @ 2.21% 2-4 @ 1.82% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.94% Total : 51.46% |