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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 90.2%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 3.03%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
90.2% | 6.78% | 3.03% |
Both teams to score 47.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
81.38% | 18.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
63.85% | 36.15% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.61% | 2.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.67% | 11.33% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.34% | 51.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.22% | 85.78% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
3-0 @ 10.75% 4-0 @ 10.05% 2-0 @ 8.63% 5-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 7.11% 4-1 @ 6.64% 2-1 @ 5.7% 5-1 @ 4.97% 6-0 @ 4.68% 1-0 @ 4.62% 6-1 @ 3.09% 7-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 2.19% 7-1 @ 1.65% 5-2 @ 1.64% 8-0 @ 1.17% 6-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.89% Total : 90.18% | 1-1 @ 3.05% 2-2 @ 1.88% 0-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.61% Total : 6.78% | 1-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.02% Total : 3.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
18 | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |