Eredivisie | Gameweek 33

May 13, 2021 at 1.30pm UK

Amsterdam Arena

Ajax
3 - 1
VVV-Venlo

Rensch (10'), Haller (57'), Kudus (77')
Martinez (49')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Giakoumakis (76')
Giakoumakis (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and VVV-Venlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 90.2%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 3.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	VVV-Venlo
90.2%	6.78%	3.03%

Both teams to score 47.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

81.38%

18.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

63.85%

36.15%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.61%

2.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.67%

11.33%

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.34%

51.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.22%

85.78%

Score Analysis

Ajax 90.18%

VVV-Venlo 3.03%

Draw 6.78%

Ajax	Draw	VVV-Venlo
3-0 @ 10.75% 4-0 @ 10.05% 2-0 @ 8.63% 5-0 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 7.11% 4-1 @ 6.64% 2-1 @ 5.7% 5-1 @ 4.97% 6-0 @ 4.68% 1-0 @ 4.62% 6-1 @ 3.09% 7-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 2.19% 7-1 @ 1.65% 5-2 @ 1.64% 8-0 @ 1.17% 6-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.89% Total : 90.18%	1-1 @ 3.05% 2-2 @ 1.88% 0-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.61% Total : 6.78%	1-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.02% Total : 3.03%

How you voted: Ajax vs VVV-Venlo

Ajax

87.0%

Draw

8.7%

VVV-Venlo

4.3%

Ajax3 - 1VVV-Venlo

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

How you voted: Ajax vs VVV-Venlo

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Ajax
3 - 1
VVV-Venlo