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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 34.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 34.9% | 27.06% | 38.04% |
| Both teams to score 50.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.33% | 54.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% | 76% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% | 29.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% | 65.85% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% | 27.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% | 63.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.89% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.04% |