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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 65.49% | 19.89% | 14.62% |
| Both teams to score 50.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.7% | 43.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% | 65.7% |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% | 12.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.7% | 38.3% |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.09% | 41.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.64% | 78.36% |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-0 @ 11.32% 1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 6.85% 4-0 @ 4.11% 4-1 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.31% Total : 65.48% | 1-1 @ 9.44% 0-0 @ 5.2% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.89% | 0-1 @ 4.52% 1-2 @ 4.1% 0-2 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.24% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.6% Total : 14.62% |